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 district heating network


Multi-agent based modeling for investigating excess heat utilization from electrolyzer production to district heating network

Christensen, Kristoffer, Jørgensen, Bo Nørregaard, Ma, Zheng Grace

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Power-to-Hydrogen is crucial for the renewable energy transition, yet existing literature lacks business models for the significant excess heat it generates. This study addresses this by evaluating three models for selling electrolyzer-generated heat to district heating grids: constant, flexible, and renewable-source hydrogen production, with and without heat sales. Using agent-based modeling and multi-criteria decision-making methods (VIKOR, TOPSIS, PROMETHEE), it finds that selling excess heat can cut hydrogen production costs by 5.6%. The optimal model operates flexibly with electricity spot prices, includes heat sales, and maintains a hydrogen price of 3.3 EUR/kg. Environmentally, hydrogen production from grid electricity could emit up to 13,783.8 tons of CO2 over four years from 2023. The best economic and environmental model uses renewable sources and sells heat at 3.5 EUR/kg


Physics-Enhanced Graph Neural Networks For Soft Sensing in Industrial Internet of Things

Niresi, Keivan Faghih, Bissig, Hugo, Baumann, Henri, Fink, Olga

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) is reshaping manufacturing, industrial processes, and infrastructure management. By fostering new levels of automation, efficiency, and predictive maintenance, IIoT is transforming traditional industries into intelligent, seamlessly interconnected ecosystems. However, achieving highly reliable IIoT can be hindered by factors such as the cost of installing large numbers of sensors, limitations in retrofitting existing systems with sensors, or harsh environmental conditions that may make sensor installation impractical. Soft (virtual) sensing leverages mathematical models to estimate variables from physical sensor data, offering a solution to these challenges. Data-driven and physics-based modeling are the two main methodologies widely used for soft sensing. The choice between these strategies depends on the complexity of the underlying system, with the data-driven approach often being preferred when the physics-based inference models are intricate and present challenges for state estimation. However, conventional deep learning models are typically hindered by their inability to explicitly represent the complex interactions among various sensors. To address this limitation, we adopt Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), renowned for their ability to effectively capture the complex relationships between sensor measurements. In this research, we propose physics-enhanced GNNs, which integrate principles of physics into graph-based methodologies. This is achieved by augmenting additional nodes in the input graph derived from the underlying characteristics of the physical processes. Our evaluation of the proposed methodology on the case study of district heating networks reveals significant improvements over purely data-driven GNNs, even in the presence of noise and parameter inaccuracies.


A Data-Driven Approach for Discovery of Heat Load Patterns in District Heating

Calikus, Ece, Nowaczyk, Slawomir, Sant'Anna, Anita, Gadd, Henrik, Werner, Sven

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Understanding the heat use of customers is crucial for effective district heating (DH) operations and management. Unfortunately, existing knowledge about customers and their heat load behaviors is quite scarce and very few studies have been focusing on this aspect. The deployment of smart meters offers a unique opportunity for researchers and DH utilities to analyze large-scale data and discover both typical, as well as atypical, patterns in the network. Heat load pattern discovery is a challenging task in DH systems, since a comprehensive analysis needs to involve many customers. Most of the past studies have relied on analysis of a small number of buildings, which are not shown to be picked as the representative examples. Therefore, the knowledge discovered in such studies is not enough to generalize for the entire network. In this work, we propose a data-driven approach that enables automatic discovery of heat load patterns in a complete district heating network. Our method clusters the buildings into different groups based on the characteristics of their load profiles, extracts the representative patterns for each of them, and detects abnormal profiles, i.e., the ones deviating from the expected behavior. We present the first comprehensive analysis of the heat load patterns by conducting a case study on all the buildings, in six customer categories, connected to two district heating networks in the south of Sweden. Our method has captured fifteen typical patterns among the heat load profiles of all buildings in our dataset. It shows that control strategies are not enough to explain the variability in the heat load behaviors. In conclusion, we demonstrate that the proposed approach has a great potential to develop knowledge about customers and their heat use habits in practice by automatically analyzing their typical and atypical profiles in large-scale.